Friday 31 August 2007

Day 5

Vera Zvonareva vs Serena Williams Back Serena Williams 1.19
Novak Djokovic vs Radek Stepanek Back Novak Djokovic 1.17
Mikhail Youzhny vs Philipp Kohlschreiber Back Mikhail Youzhny 1.35
Ivan Ljubicic vs Andrei Pavel Ivan Ljubicic Back 1.31
Carlos Moya vs Igor Kunitsyn Carlos Moya Back 1.14
Robby Ginepri vs Teimuraz Gabashvili Back Robby Ginepri 1.4

Day 4 review

Another negative day in terms of picks, I am always finding a loser,need to put more care and analysis. in the picks. with regards to trading, I traded for 2 games and got a total of 400 Euros, it has been a great week in trading so far.



Most of the money came on the Clement vs Johansson game, I was watching the game, Clement was playing better in my opinion, and i backing and laying him. I was red after the second set because when Clement was 4-1 up in the second set tie break i did not exit my trade since I though clement would win in second set, but in tennis there is never a thing such a sure thing. Anyway in the third set, Then i layed Johansson for 2000 Euros at 1.2 and when Clement broke Johansson in the third set I exited my trade for a good profit.


soon i will be starting posting on my new blog www.tennistrader.blogspot.com which will be about my tennis trades only.

Thursday 30 August 2007

Day 4 picks

Andy Roddick vs Jose Acasuso Back Andy Roddick 1.12 won +1.12 points
Richard Gasquet vs Donald Young Back Richard Gasquet 1.17 (void)
Nicolas Almagro vs Luis Horna Back Nicolas Almagro 1.38 won +1.38 points
Guillermo Canas vs Hyung Taik Lee Back Guillermo Canas 1.4 lost -10 points

total -5 points

Day 3 Review

I am very busy today so i will be quick, hopefully will give a detailed report about yesterday later today. from yesterday picks i had a loss of gonzalez, which ruined all the profit of the other games.
and ended with 0.6 points loss. on the other hand i had another great trading day making 700 euros in 9 games


Wednesday 29 August 2007

Day 3 picks

Carlos Moya vs Bjorn Phau Back Carlos Moya 1.12 won +1.12 points
Mardy Fish vs Bruno Echagaray Back Mardy Fish 1.15 won +1.15 points
Janko Tipsarevic vs Ryan Sweeting Back Janko Tipsarevic 1.39 won +1.39 points
Fernando Gonzalez vs Teimuraz Gabashvili Back Fernando Gonzalez 1.14 lost -10 points
John Isner vs Rik De Voest Back John Isner 1.28 won +1.28 points


total -0.6 points

Day 2 Review

Great day yesterday, both from the picks side and from trading, Yesterday i got right 5 out of 5 for a total of 14 points. In trading i made a total of 328 euros. A regular reader of my blog commented about my tennis strategy. What i do is this, I have 2 accounts one for trading and one for betting picks and i do not mix them together. the betting account i just place bets and leave them while the trading account i trade according to the game. Yesterday i traded in 6 games and I got profit in all of them. I am trying to be less aggressive and when a decent profit is secured, in a game, I quit trading that game. here are the results.



Nalbandian vs Navarro Pastor + 15€

Just 15 euro combined in games and in match trading here, could have been better or worse, could have been better if pastor won at least a set, he was very close in the 3rd set where he was a break up but nalbandian broke again and won in the tiebreak. I was watching the game, nalbandian was the better player, but navarro had a great server. I won 141€ in the total games where in the beginning of the 3rd set i backed 35.5 games or more at 1.6 , as I thought either navarro takes this set or at least he should go above 5 games in this set which he had always done.

Malisse vs Pless + 27€

Backed Malisse when in my opinion odds where too high around 1.8. layed when i could secure a decent profit, (to risk ratio).


Schiavone vs Dechy. 74€

I usually trade more men games then women, but women games tend to be profitable, there is more swings. In this game i entered first set result was 3-3. and 30- 30 score, i backed schiavone at 1.4, and waited until she won the first set and odds went down to 1.15 and greened out for a good profit.


Blake vs Russell +58€

After first set Blake was at odds 1.08. Russell was having a good game and thought he could give some hard time to blake in 3 sets. Also i checked the head 2 head and Russell was 3-0 in non Master games, so I thought Russell could take at least a set. Second set he broke immediately blake and i backed blake at higher odds and leaving more green and russell hoping he could win the set. Blake won the set and I only won 58, if russell won second results would have been much better, but a profit is a profit.

Vakulenko vs Hantuchova. +101 €

Here Hantuchova was favourite, Vakulenko won the first second and in the second set Hantuchova broke, odds went really down at around 1.35, here i layed Hantuchova hoping Vakulenko willl break again in the second set. but she did not. Had to wait in the third set to exit where she broke early in the 3rd set and Hantuchova never recovered.


Karlovic vs Clement +54 €

This was my first trade of the day, as i start trading after work. Karlovic was favourite in my opinion after his past form but when i starting watching the game he was 2 sets down so I layed clement, Karlovic won the next set where then i back clement to secure a profit and start a day on a good note. I feel first trade of the day is very important to be in profit so it will give you a boost of confidence.

Overall i had a good day where i made 328 € profit in tennis, a negative note was in soccer where I layed any quoted result in the liverpool vs toulouse game after liverpool scored the second goal. I thought they would take it easy now but 2 late goals ruined my bet, my fault, I should have greened out when odds where around 20's, but at the end of the day i was still +224 € up.

Tuesday 28 August 2007

Day 2 picks

Lleyton Hewitt vs Amer Delic Back Lleyton Hewitt Back 1.08 won +0.8 points
Ivan Ljubicic vs Kristof Vliegen Back Ivan Ljubicic Back 1.25 won +2.5 points
Andrei Pavel vs Dominik Meffert Back Andrei Pavel Back 1.36 won +3.6 points
David Ferrer vs Florian Mayer Back David Ferrer 1.22 won +2.2 points
Xavier Malisse vs Kristian Pless Back Xavier Malisse 1.56 won +5.6 points

day total + 14.7

US open total +0.7 points
Day 1 -14 points
Day 2 14.7 points
not such a good day yesterday for my pick, i need to do more analysis, and be more selective. on the other hand a good day in trading. (I keep separate account for trading ). here are my results.


In all I traded 8 games and made a profit of 669 Euros.

Isner vs Niemen ( 3 :1) profit 24 Euros

Isner is the rising star and heard good things about him, I backed Isner in the first tie break aroun 2.6 but then he lost and then i layed Niemen in the second set at odds of 1.34. Isner won the second set tie break and I layed some of Isner, hoping the Isner will win the 3rd set. And in fact Isner won the 3rd set and I layed isner and had 107 euros at each side. Then i should have stopped. I should make this as a rule of thumb "If i trade and have 100 euro profit on each play , I should go to another game". I did nothing for a long while just observing the game. Each player had played 20 games or more each and no one had breaked anyone yet. so when Isner was leading in the 4th set against his break, I layed him, as the pattern was not to break, but eventually Isner broke Niemen and won the set leaving me with a total profit of 24 euros.

Haas vs Darcis (3:1) loss -49.5 Euros

Layed Hass at 1.14 for 200, the layed him again at 1.04 something but Darcis never recovered


Kiefer vs Spadea(3:0) loss -23 Euros

Layed Kiefer at 1.08 but spadea never won a set.

Hrbaty vs Lee. won +59 euros

Lee was at odds 1.04, I wanted to lay him but after 2 previous losses i was caution and only layed 200 at 1.06. Hrabty then won the 3 rd set and Back Lee around odds of 1.4 and stopped.

Verdasco vs Mathieu. won +353 euros

Verdasco is a fighter and i knew it and when i saw the odds at 1.1 on Mathieu I made a 1000 euro lay on mathieu, Verdasco won around 5-6 straight games and from 2 sets and a break down reached 2-1 sets and a break up, i was back mathieu with 50 euro chunks all the way for a good profit

Luczak vs Horna + 3 euros
small back and lay in the tiebreak


Golovin vs Rolle + 234 Euros

I was going to sleep but on the bwin.com website, there was live streaming of this game, rolle is a young american and she was playing with real determination so i backed her 60 at 4.5. she won first set and odds went around 3 and i could lay at around 100 euro profit on each. instead i left most of the profit on Rolle. Golovin won the second set easily and the odds went really low around 1.14 on golovin. Here i knew that the market is wrong, golovin was favourite, and won the second set 6-1 and everyone thought that next set will be an easy set for golovin. so I layed golovin for another 500 euros and watched the game. when rolle was breaking golovin i was back golovin at 1.3, 1.4....... until around 2. I had a good profit and at odds of 1.3 on rolle I layed rolle for around 500 hoping goloving will break back but she never did and left me with a profit of 234 Euros


Ramirez Hidalgo vs Canas +96 Euros

Canas was big favourite here so when he was 1-1 into sets I backed him at around 1.6, then he was losing 3 rd set and backed him again at around 2.4. I started to lay him off when he broke hidalgo in the 3rd set, then when he was 2-1 up I greened up and left 96 profit on each player and went to sleep 669 euros richer :)

Monday 27 August 2007

Back for the US Open

Hi everyone, i am back and my aim to to maintan a target of 90% strike rate, also I will be trading some matches, will update you on trading later, here are my picks for today.

postings for the us open will be done at 2 p.m local time or 1 p.m British time.

Lleyton Hewitt vs Amer Delic Back Lleyton Hewitt 1.1 today
Marcos Baghdatis vs Max Mirnyi Back Marcos Baghdatis 1.14 lost -10 points
Mardy Fish vs Bruno Echagaray Back Mardy Fish 1.19
Novak Djokovic vs Mario Ancic Back Novak Djokovic 1.14 cancelled
Stanislas Wawrinka vs Evgeny Korolev Back Stanislas Wawrinka 1.37
Benjamin Becker vs Philipp Petzschner Back Benjamin Becker 1.59 lost -10 points
Andrew Murray vs Pablo Cuevas Back Andrew Murray 1.16 won 1.6 points won + 1.16 points
Sebastien Grosjean vs Paul Goldstein Back Sebastien Grosjean 1.38 won +3.8 points
Guillermo Canas vs Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo Back Guillermo Canas 1.1 won +1 point
Ivan Ljubicic vs Kristof Vliegen Back Ivan Ljubicic 1.35 today

Good luck to everyone
p.s I updated the betfair prices

total -14 points

Wednesday 18 July 2007

summer break

I will be going on vacation and will have a break on betting, I will analyze all my bets and results an will be back for sure for the US Open and for the start of the new football season.

Tuesday 17 July 2007

Monday 17th

Category 1

Carlos Moya vs Christophe Rochus Lay Rochus
Nikolay Davydenko vs Florent Serra Lay Florent Serra
Luis Horna vs Raemon Sluiter Lay Raemon Sluiter
Nicolas Massu vs Thiemo De bakker Lay Thiemo De bakker


Category 2

David Nalbandian vs Igor Kunitsyn Lay Kunitsyn
James Blake vs Alexander Peya Lay Peya
Radek Stepanek vs Alex Bogdanovich Lay Bogdanovich

Saturday 14 July 2007

Saturday 14th

Category 1

Igor Andreev vs Andreas Seppi Lay Seppi @ 6 lost -10 points
David Ferrer vs Filippo Volandri Lay Volandri @3.4 won +2 points
Carlos Moya vs Nicolas Almagro Lay Almagro @ 2.52
won +2 points
Nicolas Mahut vs Dick Norman Lay Norman @ 5 won +2 points

Result - 4 points


Friday 13 July 2007

Category 1

David Ferrer vs Gilles Simon Lay Simon @ 4.5 won + 2 points
Richard Gasquet vs Igor Andreev Lay Andreev @ 2.38 lost - 2.7 points
Radek Stepanek vs Marc Gicquel Lay Gicquel @ 2.9 won + 2 points
Aisam Qureshi vs Dick Norman Lay Norman @ 2.9 lost -3.8 points

Category 2

Vincent Spadea vs Wesley Moodie Lay Moodie @ 2.56 lost -1.56 points

Bets 2/5
Results - 4.06 points

Thursday 12 July 2007

Category 1

Gael Monfils vs Jiri Vanek Lay Vanek @ 6.4 won + 2 points
David Ferrer vs Nicolas Massu Lay Massu @ 5.2 won + 2 points
Nicolas Mahut vs Antony Dupuis Lay Dupuis @ 3.8 won + 2 points

Category 2

Juan Monaco vs Gilles Simon Lay Simon @ 2.54 lost -1.54 points
Paul Henri Mathieu vs Feliciano Lopez Lay Lopez @3.8 won + 1 points
Robin Soderling vs Fernando Verdasco Lay Verdasco @ 2.56 won + 1 points
Danai Udomchoke vs Mischa Zverev Lay Zverev @ 2.22 won + 1 points
Carlos Moya vs Thomas Johansson Lay Johansson @ 5 won + 1 points
Richard Gasquet vs Kristof Vliegen Lay Vliegen @ 6.6 won + 1 points

Total
Total 9 bets

Bets 8/9
Total : 9.44 points

Category 1
Bets 5/6
Category 1 : 6 points

Category 2
Bets 2/2
Category 2 : 3.44 points

Wednesday 11 July 2007

Category 1 (from yesterday)

Igor Andreev vs Albert Montanes Lay Montanes (from yesterday) @5 (Swiss open) won +2 points
Nikolay Davydenko vs Gael Monfils Lay Monfils @ 3.7 (Swiss open) -5.4 points
Mikhail Youzhny vs Stefan Koubek Lay Koubek @ 5.1 (Swiss open) - 8.2 points
Stanislas Wawrinka vs Martin Vassallo Arguello Lay Arguello @ 3 (Swiss open) - 4 points
Jose Acasuso vs Nicolas Lapentti Lay Lapentti @ 3.3 (Swiss open) lost -4.6 points
Richard Gasquet vs Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo Lay Hidalgo @ 4.1 (Swiss open) won +2 points

Today bets
Category 1
Olivier Rochus vs Lukas Dlouhy Lay Dlouhy @ 3.2 won +1 points
Filippo Volandri vs Yuri Schukin Lay Schukin @ 6.2 won +1 points

results - 16 points

Tuesday 10 July 2007

Still raining... but tennis goes on

Category 1

Igor Andreev vs Albert Montanes Lay Montanes (from yesterday) @5 (Swiss open)
Nikolay Davydenko vs Gael Monfils Lay Monfils @ 3.7 (Swiss open)
Mikhail Youzhny vs Stefan Koubek Lay Koubek @ 5.1 (Swiss open)
Stanislas Wawrinka vs Martin Vassallo Arguello Lay Arguello @ 3 (Swiss open)
Jose Acasuso vs Nicolas Lapentti Lay Lapentti @ 3.3 (Swiss open)
Richard Gasquet vs Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo Lay Hidalgo @ 4.1 (Swiss open)

Category 2

no bets

Results

no games completed from my selection today

Monday 9 July 2007

Another week

2 intensive weeks passed with a lot of tennis, this week there will be swedish open and swiss open. here are some bets for today. I will make a review on wimbledon results soon.

Category 1

Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Jan Hernych Lay Hernych @ 4.6 won + 2 points
Igor Andreev vs Albert Montanes Lay Montanes @ 4.5 (postponed)
Carlos Moya vs Ivan Navarro Pastor Lay Pastor @ 8 won + 2 points

Category 2

Chris Guccione vs Michael Berrer Lay Berrer @ 2.7 lost -1.7 points

Results
Bets 2/3
Points 2.3 points

Friday 6 July 2007

Wimbledon Day 9

Category 1

Andy Roddick vs Richard Gasquet Lay Gasquet @ 3.4 (from yesterday)

Category 2

Novak Djokovic vs Marcos Baghdatis Lay Baghdatis @ 2.3 won + 1 point
Rafael Nadal vs Tomas Berdych Lay Berdych @ 2.26 won +1 point

Total
Total 2 bets

Bets 2/2
Total : 2 points

Category 1
Bets 0/0
Category 1 : 0 points

Category 2
Bets 2/2
Category 2 : 2 points

Final Targets

comments coming soon

Thursday 5 July 2007

Wimbledon Day 8

Category 1
Andy Roddick vs Richard Gasquet Lay Gasquet Lay Gasquet @ 3.4 (postponed )
Tomas Berdych vs. Jonas Bjorkman Lay Bjorkman Lay Bjorkman @ 4.3 won +2 points

Category 2
Svetlana Kuznetsova vs Venus Williams Lay Kuznetsova @ 3.15 + 1 point
Nicole Vaidisova vs Ana Ivanovic Lay Ivanovic @ 2.2 lost -1.2 points

Total
Total 3 bets

Bets 2/3
Total : 1.8 points

Category 1
Bets 2/2
Category 1 : 2 points

Category 2
Bets 1/2
Category 2 :- 0.2 points

Tuesday 3 July 2007

Day 7 Wimbledon

Category 1

Nicole Vaidisova vs Amelie Mauresmo Lay Vaidisova @ 4.4 lost -6.8 points
Ana Ivanovic vs Nadia Petrova Lay Petrova @ 2.82 won +2 points
Andy Roddick vs Paul Henri Mathieu Lay Mathieu @ 5.2 won +2 points
Novak Djokovic vs Nicolas Kiefer Lay Kiefer @ 6 won +2 points
Lleyton Hewitt vs Guillermo Canas Lay Canas @ 4 won +2 points
Rafael Nadal vs Robin Soderling Lay Soderling @ 9 won +2 points

Category 2

Venus Williams vs Maria Sharapova Lay Williams @ 3.6 -2.6 points
Jelena Jankovic vs Marion Bartoli Lay Bartoli @ 8.2 won +1 points
Svetlana Kuznetsova vs Tamira Paszek Lay Paszek @ 3.8 won +1 points
Richard Gasquet vs Jo Wilfried Tsonga Lay Tsonga @ 4.3 won +1 points


Total
Total 11 bets

Bets 8/10
Total : 3.6 points

Category 1
Bets 5/6
Category 1 : 3.2 points

Category 2
Bets 3/4
Category 2 : 0.4 points

Sunday 1 July 2007

Monday 2nd July

Category 1

all games delayed for next day

Category 2
Mikhail Youzhny vs Jarkko Nieminen Lay Nieminen won + 1 point

Results + 1 point

Saturday 30 June 2007

back on monday

hey everyone, i will be travelling so i cannot put post this 2 days i will be back on monday

Friday 29 June 2007

Day 5 Wimbledon

Category 1

Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Feliciano Lopez Lay Lopez @ 2.6 won +2 points
Martina Hingis vs Laura Granville Lay Granville @ 5.4 lost -8.8 points
Jelena Jankovic vs Lucie Safarova Lay Safarova @ 9 won +2 points
Justine Henin vs Elena Vesnina Back Henin 2-0 @ 1.11 (Back at 10 points) won +1.11 points
Andy Roddick vs Fernando Verdasco Lay Verdasco @ 8.4 won +2 points
Daniela Hantuchova vs Katarina Srebotnik Lay Srebotnik @ 6 won +2 points
Anna Chakvetadze vs Michaela Krajicek Lay Krajicek @ 5 lost -8 points

Category 2
Richard Gasquet vs Edouard Roger Vasselin Lay Vasselin @ 10 won +1 point
Ivan Ljubicic vs Paul Henri Mathieu Lay Ljubicic @ 1.65 won +1point
Tommy Haas vs Dmitry Tursunov Lay Tursunov @ 2.5 won +1point

another bet added.
Patty Schnyder vs Alona Bondarenko Lay Schnyder @ 2.15 lost -1.15 points

Total
Total 11 bets

Bets 8/11
Total : -4.85 points

Category 1
Bets 5/7
Category 1 : -7.7 points

Category 2
Bets 3/4
Category 2 : +2.85 points




Watch Wimbledon online for free.

Live Wimbledon games online for free. check out this link.

Grand Slam Wimbledon Tennis Live Free Stream !

Thursday 28 June 2007

Day 4- Best Day so Far

Great day in betting terms today with 14/15 pics correct and a total of 21.8 points. this brings a total of 41.55 points so far and 39/44 correct bets with a strike rate of 89 %. Check wimbledon result on this link.

More posts will be posted tomorrow by 12:00 p.m (local time).

Wimbledon Day 4

Today's bets are bets from yesterday and new ones. Please check latest update at 12 :00 p.m local time for the latest updates.

Category 1(yesterday)

Dmitry Tursunov vs Michael Berrer Lay Berrer @ 5.6 won + 2 points
James Blake vs Andrei Pavel Pavel @ 7 won + 2 points
Tommy Haas vs Tomas Zib Lay Zib @ 7.8 won + 2 points
Tsvetana Pironkova vs Agniezka Radwanska Lay Pironkova @ 3.8 won + 2 points
Roger Federer vs Juan Martin Del Potro Back Federer Set Betting 3-0 @ 1.16 won + 1.6 points
Marat Safin vs Aisam Qureshi Lay Qureshi @ 5 won +2 points
Roberta Vinci vs Patty Schnyder Lay Vinci @ 2.58 won + 2 points


Category 1(today)
Daniela Hantuchova vs Elena Likhovtseva Lay Likhovtseva @ 5.3 won +2 points
Mikhail Youzhny vs Gilles Simon Lay Simon @ 4.7
won +2 points
Novak Djokovic vs Amer Delic Lay Delic @ 15 won +2 points


Category 2(yesterday)
Ivan Ljubicic vs Jan Hernych Lay Hernych @ 5.8 won + 1 points
Juan Carlos Ferrero vs Gilles Muller Lay Muller @ 2.74 won + 1 points


Category 2(today)
Juan Ignacio Chela vs Edouard Roger Vasselin Lay Vasselin @ 2.8 Lost -1.8 points
Gael Monfils vs Kristof Vliegen @ 3.3 won +1 points
Tomas Berdych vs Michael Llodra @ 5.3 won +1 points

Total 15 bets
Results(current)
Bets 14/15
Total : 21.8 points

Category 1 Bets 10/10
Category 1 : 19.6 points

Category 2 Bets 4/5
Category 2 +2.2 points

Day 3 Comments

Due to rain, most of the matches have been cancelled, from 14 bets only 5 where concluded and these where 5 winners adding to a total of 25 winners out of 29. Tomorrow will include todays pending bets plus other bets.

Please note I will publish my final picks on wimbledon latest 12 :00 p.m local time (check watch on right of the blog). good luck.

Wednesday 27 June 2007

Wimbledon Day 3

Category 1

Dmitry Tursunov vs Michael Berrer Lay Berrer @ 5.6
James Blake vs Andrei Pavel Pavel @ 7
Tommy Haas vs Tomas Zib Lay Zib @ 7.8
Tsvetana Pironkova vs Agniezka Radwanska Lay Pironkova @ 3.8
Andy Roddick vs Danai Udomchoke Back Roddick Set Betting 3-0 @ 1.25 won + 2.5 points
Roger Federer vs Juan Martin Del Potro Back Federer Set Betting 3-0 @ 1.16
Marat Safin vs Aisam Qureshi Lay Qureshi @ 5
Dinara Safina vs Kateryna Bondarenko Lay Bondarenko @ 9.6 w0n +2 points
Roberta Vinci vs Patty Schnyder Lay Vinci @ 2.58

Category 2

Alicia Molik vs Serena Williams Back Williams Set Betting 2-0 @ 1.25 won +1.25 points
Fernando Gonzalez vs Alejandro Falla Lay Falla @ 6.6 won +1 point
Martina Hingis vs Aiko Nakamura Lay Nakamura @ 5 won +1 point
Ivan Ljubicic vs Jan Hernych Lay Hernych @ 5.8
Juan Carlos Ferrero vs Gilles Muller Lay Muller @ 2.74

Total 5 bets
Results
Bets 5/5
Total : 7.75 points

Category 1 Bets 2/2
Category 1 : 4.5 points

Category 2 Bets 3/3
Category 2 3.25 points

Tuesday 26 June 2007

Wimbledon total Results so far.

Total Wimbledon Tournament
Bets 49/57 Strike rate 86%
Points 47.95 points

Category 1 : 23/32
Points 32.0

Category 2 : 22/25
Points 14.15

Day summary
Bets Points
Day 1 : 4/5 bets 1.9 points
Day 2:
16/19 bets 10.1 points
Day 3 : 5/5 bets 7.75 points
Day 4 : 14/15 bets 21.8 points
Day 5 : 8/11 bets -4.85 point
Day 6 :1/1 1 point
Day 7 : 8/10 3.6 points
Day 8 : 2/3 1.8 points


Trading Tennis

I will put another section on my blog Trading Tennis, The aim is to learn from my mistakes, and get and give advice from the readers of this blog.

Good trading game was Tim Henman vs Carlos Moya It started yesterday and continued today. Tim Henman won after a long match and a lot of opportunities to trade in the game. Most of the time I was laying the favourite during the course of the Match. I won 92.83 euros on this match.



Dont forget my picks below, going quite well :)

Wimbledon Day 2

Bets from yesterday

Category 1
Aisam Qureshi vs Lee Childs Lay Lee Childs@ 3.35 won +2 points
Marat Safin vs Rik De Voest Lay Rik De Voest @ 6.2 won +2 points
Nicolas Mahut vs Arnaud Clement Lay Clement @ 2.7 won +2 points

Today bets

Category 1
Ivo Karlovic vs Fabrice Santoro Lay Santoro @ 4.7 lost - 7.2 points
Jelena Jankovic vs Anne Keothavong Lay Keothavong @ 46 won + 2 points
Alex Bogdanovich vs Chris Guccione Lay Guccione @ 2 lost -2 points
David Nalbandian vs Mischa Zverev Lay Zverev @7.6 won + 2 points
Rafael Nadal vs Mardy Fish Lay Fish @ 9 won + 2 points
Daniela Hantuchova vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Lay Pavlyuchenkova@ 14 won + 2 point

Bets from yesterday

Category 2
13:30 Juan Martin Del Potro vs Davide Sanguinetti Lay Sanguietti @ 11 won + 1 point
13:30 Dmitry Tursunov vs Nicolas Almagro Lay Almagro @ 6.4 won + 1 point
13:30 Juan Carlos Ferrero vs Jan Hajek Lay Hajek @ 5.4 won + 1 point
15:00 James Blake vs Igor Andreev Lay Andreev @ 3.75 won + 1 point
15:30 Fernando Verdasco vs Bobby Reynolds Lay Reynolds @ 3.3 won + 1 point
17:00 Ivan Ljubicic vs Vincent Spadea Lay Spadea @ 6 won + 1 point


Today's Bets

Category 2
Marcos Baghdatis vs Ernest Gulbis Lay Gulbis @ 10 won won + 1 point
Nikolay Davydenko vs Evgeny Korolev Lay Korolev @ 3 won + 1 point
Meghann Shaugnessy vs Jarmila Gajdosova Lay Gajdosova @ 5.7 lost -4.7 points
Alona Bondarenko vs Jill Craybas Lay Craybas @ 5.7 won + 1 point


Total 19 bets
Results
Total : 10.1 points

Category 1 Bets 7/9
Category 1 : 4.8 points

Category 2 Bets 9/10
Category 2 5.3 points


Monday 25 June 2007

Day 1 Wimbledon

Few games today due to rain, and few wins, 4 games from category 1 and 1 game from category 2. with 3 and 1 wins respectively.

So far
Total Bets 4/5
Total points 1.9

Category 1 Bets 3/4
Category 1 Points : +0.9

Category 2 1/1
Category 2 Points : +1

Wimbledon round 1

Category 1

12:00 Fernando Gonzalez vs Robby Ginepri Lay Robby Ginepri @ 5.6 won + 2 points
12:00 Tommy Haas vs Zack Fleishman Lay Zack Fleishman @ 2.98 won +2 points
12:00 Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Florent Serra Lay Serra @ 3.55 lost -5.1 points
13:00 Andy Roddick vs Justin Gimelstob Lay Gimelstob @ 38 won +2 points
15:30 Aisam Qureshi vs Lee Childs Lay Lee Childs@ 3.35
15:30 Marat Safin vs Rik De Voest Lay Rik De Voest @ 6.2
17:00 Nicolas Mahut vs Arnaud Clement Lay Clement @ 2.7


Category 2

12 :00 Janko Tipsarevic vs Alexander Peya Lay Peya @ 5.8 won + 1 point
13:30 Juan Martin Del Potro vs Davide Sanguinetti Lay Sanguietti @ 11
13:30 Dmitry Tursunov vs Nicolas Almagro Lay Almagro @ 6.4
13:30 Juan Carlos Ferrero vs Jan Hajek Lay Hajek @ 5.4
15:00 James Blake vs Igor Andreev Lay Andreev @ 3.75
15:30 Fernando Verdasco vs Bobby Reynolds Lay Reynolds @ 3.3
17:00 Ivan Ljubicic vs Vincent Spadea Lay Spadea @ 6.6

Winner Market.
I place a back on Andy Roddick at 21 on betfair. I do not think that Roddick will will but he has an easy draw and I see him in the quarter/semi finals. I will lay him when the odds are around 10-12.

Results(current)
Total
Category 1 +0.9
Category 2 +1

Tennis Statistics

Wimbledon, is another major tennis event. In major events I tend to have a better strike rate, in roland garros I had 61 out of 72 bets correct which is equivalent to a strike rate of 85%. Combined with a suitable stake plan should make good profits. Since I started posting on the blog I had 194 tennis bets and had 32 losers and 162 winners which gives a strike rate of 84 %.

Consider my strike rate, and my selections, my staking plan is the following. Lay Category 1 at 2 points and category 2 at 1 point, also I will do parallel staking plan with backing 10 points on Category 1 and 5 points on Category 2.

Category 1 should have higher strike rate in the long run and therefore should be more profitable.

p.s all bets are on spreadsheet, if anyone is interested please send a mail on systemsexchange@gmail.com and i will send them.

Also i you have any suggestions for staking plans let me know.

Summary so far.(tennis)

Total bets 194,
Bets won 162
Bets lost 32
Strike rate 84 %

Sunday 24 June 2007

Soccer Today

Intertoto Cup
Birkirkara v NK Maribor Back NK Maribor @ 7 won + 1 point
Gloria Bistrita v Grbalj Radonovici Back Gloria Bistrita @ 9.4 won + 1 point

Russian Soccer
Zenit St Petersburg v Spartak Nalchik Back Zenit St Petersburg @ 12 won + 1 point

Brazilian Soccer
Internacional RS v Gremio Back Internacional RS @ 4.2 lost -3.2 points

Total -0.2 points

Results and Statistics

Currently i am updating my results will update soon.

Summary of 6 weeks


Football Tennis Total per Week Overall
Week 1 5.5 2 7.5

Week 2 13.4 4.65 18.05 25.55
Week 3 -22.5 -2.64 -25.14 0.41
Week 4 6.7 18.6 25.3 25.71
Week 5 10.5 -1.08 9.42 35.13
Week 6 -1.2 -7.83 -9.03 26.1

26 points profit in 6 weeks.

Friday 22 June 2007

Tennis 22nd June

Category 1

From yesterday

Benjamin Becker vs Antony Dupuis Lay Dupuis @ 3 lost -2 points

Today bets

Ivan Ljubicic vs Julien Benneteau Lay Julien Benneteau @ 4 won + 1 point

Jelena Jankovic vs Dinara Safina Back Jelena Jankovic @1.14 won + 1 points
Anna Chakvetadze vs Daniela Hantuchova Back Daniela Hantuchova @2.28 lost - 1.28 points

Category 2
Nadia Petrova vs Amelie Mauresmo Back Amelie Mauresmo @ 1.25 won +1 points
Justine Henin vs Marion Bartoli Back Justine Henin @ 1.05 won + 1 points

Results + 0.75 points




* in the betfair market the games at notthingam open got voided because there was a change in the surface of the floor

Thursday 21 June 2007

soccer Today

Italian Soccer Seria B Playoff
Verona v Spezia Lay Spezia @ 4.4 won + 1 point

Norwegain Soccer
Rosenborg v Lillestrom Back total goals 2 or more @ 1.23 won + 1points
Rosenborg v Lillestrom Lay Under 1.5 @ 4 won + 1 point
IK Start v Odd Grenland Lay Odd Grenland @ 6 -5 points
IK Start v Odd Grenland Lay Under 1.5 @ 4 won + 1 point

Total Result -1 points

Tennis 21st June

Category 1

Ivan Ljubicic vs Janko Tipsarevic Lay Janko Tipsarevic @1.35 won +1 point
Tommy Robredo vs Peter Wessels Lay Peter Wessels @1.24 lost -3 points
Richard Gasquet vs Arnaud Clement Lay Clement @ 1.35 lost -2.5 points
Shahar Peer vs Amelie Mauresmo Lay Peer @ 1.29 won + 1 point

Category 2
Elena Dementieva vs Marion Bartoli Lay Bartoli @2.28 -1.28 points
Julien Benneteau vs Michael Berrer Lay Michael Berrer @ 1.6 + 1 point

Results -3.78 points

Wednesday 20 June 2007

Tennis Today

Category 1
Richard Gasquet vs Jan Vacek Lay Vacek @ 10 won +1 points
Guillermo Canas vs Michael Berrer Lay Berrer @ 5 lost -4 points
Tommy Robredo vs Kristof Vliegen Lay Vliegen @ 3 won + 1 points
Ivan Ljubicic vs Andreas Seppi Lay Seppi@ 1.24 won +1 points
Ivo Karlovic vs Gilles Simon Lay Simon @ 1.3 won +1 points

Category 2

Sebastien Grosjean vs Guillermo Garcia Lopez Lay GG Lopez @ 3.65 lost - 2.65 points

Results -2.65 points

Category classification

From today on I will classify my bets as category 1 and category 2, Those of category 1 in my opinion are stronger bets than those of category 2. Regarding staking the same 10 points will be used for each bet. The main reason I am doing this is to check for long term results between category 1 and category 2.

Tuesday 19 June 2007

Tennis 19th June

Dmitry Tursunov vs Robert Kendrick Lay Robert Kendrick @ 3.2 won + 1 point
Max Mirnyi vs Hyung Taik Lee Lay Taik Leei @ 3.4 lost -2.4 points
Guillermo Canas vs Ernest Gulbis Lay Gulbiss @ 3.9 won + 1 point
Juan Carlos Ferrero vs Carlos Berlocq Lay Berlocq @ 8 lost -7 points
Jonas Bjorkman vs Richard Bloomfield Lay Bloomfield@ 4 won + 1 point
Arnaud Clement vs Thomas Johansson Lay Johansson @ 2.8 won + 1 point
Nathalie Dechy vs Akiko Morigami Lay Morigami @ 3.24 won + 1 point


Total Results -4.4 results

Change of staking plan

From previous results I have tested with a 10 point staking plan and got better results, instead of laying i will back at 10 points each selection.

Monday 18 June 2007

Tennis 18th June

Richard Gasquet vs Vincent Spadea Lay Spadea @ 6 won + 1 point
Andreas Seppi vs Alexander Peya Lay Peya Andreas Seppi @ 2.7 won + 1 point
Alex Bogdanovich vs Guillermo Garcia Lopez Lay Guillermo Garcia Lopez @ 3 won + 1 point
Sebastien Grosjean vs Dominik Hrbaty Lay Dominik Hrbaty @ 5.5 won + 1 point
Fabrice Santoro vs Kristof Vliegen Lay Kristof Vliegen @ 2.76 retired -1.76 points
Ivo Karlovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka Lay Stanislas Wawrinka @ 3.35 (delayed)

Ivan Ljubicic vs Gael Monfils Lay Monfiles @ * void
void this match, this game is on grass and there is not much difference between these 2 types on players on this surface, could go on each side.


Result +2.25 points

Week Results

9 points last week and this makes 5 winning weeks from 6 on this blog. Will update the detailed results this week and can be found in the results section.

Sunday 17 June 2007

Soccer 16th June

Spanish Liga Final round
Gimnastic v Barcelona Lay Gimnastic @ 17.5 won + 1 point
Gimnastic v Barcelona Lay 0-0 @ 32 won + 1 point
Real Madrid v Mallorca Lay Mallorca @ 23 won + 1 point
Athletic Bilbao v Levante Lay Levante @ 9.4 won + 1 point

Euro U21

England U21 v Serbia U21 Lay Serbia @ 7.8 won + 1 point
Italy U21 v Czech Rep U21 Lay Czech Rep @ 7.2 won + 1 point

Brazilian Soccer
Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama Lay Vasco da Gama @ 5.1 won + 1 point

Total +7 points

Tennis 16th June

Andy Roddick vs Nicolas Mahut Lay Mahut @ 6 won + 1 point
Tomas Berdych vs Marcos Baghdatis Lay Baghdatis @ 2.08 won + 1 point
Benjamin Becker vs Olivier Rochus Lay Rochus @ 2.04 won + 1 point
Ivan Ljubicic vs Gael Monfils Lay Monfils @ 2.2 (tomorrow)

Result + 3 points

Ebooks List

These are the ebooks I have
  1. easy trader pro+ video
  2. value horse method
  3. lay miracle
  4. football cash generator
  5. football 2020 betting system
  6. raj patel soccer revolution+video
  7. horses4courses
  8. race cream(with calculator)
  9. ipilaying
  10. golden star system-basketball
  11. laying horses to lose secrets
  12. the bank vault report
  13. the perpetual profit plan
  14. betfair how to lay fav for a living
  15. BetSciUS
  16. xchange trading method
  17. systemXtrader
  18. betUmakeprofit(video ebook)
  19. italian job
  20. in play profits
  21. Maria staking plan
  22. foundation system
  23. cash master
  24. zero risk bet
  25. 30 second tenis system
  26. ftsincome.co.uk-football trading system
  27. betting exchange profits
  28. omega secret manual
  29. omega secret final version
  30. football beting science
  31. the lay king
  32. football cash machine
  33. soccer-make your bookie atm machine
  34. the betfair wonderful winning soccer betting system
  35. the explosive impact system
  36. the killer systems
  37. smartmoneyracing
  38. bettingdata.co.uk
  39. bookmakers nightmare
  40. winners lay losers
  41. winners pick losers
  42. betfair in play system
  43. bookmakers nigthmare inside secrets of horse racing
  44. balay system
  45. favourite backer
  46. fff plan
  47. smart bet wizard software
  48. smart bet wizard manual
  49. smart bet wizard online user guide
  50. systems to tip
  51. the banker bet a day
  52. the gold nudget system
  53. analitical pro horse racing software
  54. layoftheday
  55. form wizard pro software
  56. swing trading book
  57. new horse racing system
  58. the money machine
  59. my mathematical formula
  60. income for life
  61. holly grail
  62. hidden factors
  63. premium favourites
  64. race of the day
  65. results of dream of
  66. The Winning Outsider System
  67. the art of bookmaking
  68. follow the money+ results august
  69. valuelays
  70. the money vault system
  71. bismarx poker+SOFTWARE
  72. bruno'S roulette system
  73. perfect blackjack system
  74. forex trading course
  75. how to winn on fruits machine
  76. sport arbitrage betting
  77. lay predictor
  78. lay the best
  79. riders to riches
  80. the legacy system+saver system
  81. equine investemt plan
  82. how to make LLLL using my football system
  83. realiable horse racing system
  84. betfair triple system
  85. best lays system
  86. lay betting selection system
  87. layzee
  88. laygenius
  89. betting code exposed
  90. bookie beating soccer handbook
  91. football genius
  92. formula 1 trader
  93. maldini sports betting
  94. merlin results radar system
  95. race fortune
  96. socabet
  97. the texas hold'em
  98. the betfair poker exchange profesional system
  99. the LRT system
  100. 3 teams 1 banker 2 not to lose+football recovery betting
  101. Dave's 30 seconds tennis system
  102. 50 pounds a day system
  103. 10 pro football betting system
  104. ultimate football system
  105. bet card
  106. win on football betting system
  107. money_soccer_Daniel Soulby_sports arbitrage
  108. amazing roulette strategy
  109. 5 minute racing
  110. perfect lays
  111. dog time form software
  112. sectional timing the holy grayl of greyhound racing
  113. simulation software

Ebooks Review

Below are review of some betting ebooks, there will be more added from time to time, and if anyone has used some ebook and wants to share his experience good or bad is more than welcome.

Coming soon....

Some reviews on the following site http://www.profithorsebetting.com/

Saturday 16 June 2007

Soccer 16th May

Spanish
Las Palmas v Poli Ejido Lay Poli Ejido @
lost - 2.5 points

Norway
18:00 Lyn Oslo v SK Brann Lay 0-0 @
won + 1 point

Under 21 Soccer
19:45 Israel U21 v Portugal U21 Lay Israel @
won + 1 point

Argentina Soccer
20:10 Quilmes v San Lorenzo Lay Quilmes @
won + 1 point

Brazilian soccer
22:15 Corinthians v Parana Lay Parana @
won + 1 point

USA Soccer
23:30 New England v Columbus Lay Columbus @
won + 1 point

Total + 2.5 points

Friday 15 June 2007

Tennis 15 June

Pending from yesterday

Ivan Ljubicic vs Nicolas Mahut Lay Mahut @ 2.66 lost -1.66 points
Rafael Nadal vs Max Mirnyi Lay Mirnyi @ 6 won + 1 point
Novak Djokovic vs Arnaud Clement Lay Clement @ 6 lost -5 points
Daniela Hantuchova vs Eleni Daniilidou Lay Daniilidou @ 3.25 won + 1 point

Today's bets

Jarkko Nieminen vs Marc Gicquel Lay Gicquel @ 2.82 won + 1 point
Maria Sharapova vs Tamira Paszek Lay Paszek @ won + 1 point
Fernando Gonzalez vs Dmitry Tursunov Lay Tursnunov @ 3.65 lost -2.65 points
Marcos Baghdatis vs Florian Mayer Lay Mayer @ 3 won + 1 point

Result -4 points

Thursday 14 June 2007

Tennis 14th June

Nikolay Davydenko vs Florian Mayer Lay Mayer @2.18 lost -1.18 points
Marcos Baghdatis vs Robin Soderling Lay Soderling @ 2.88 won + 1 point
Jarkko Nieminen vs Andrei Pavel Lay Pavel @ 2.65 won + 1 point
Fernando Gonzalez vs Robby Ginepri Lay Ginepri @ 2.85 won + 1 point



Total + 2. 82 points

Wednesday 13 June 2007

Tennis 13th June

Maria Sharapova vs Lilia Osterloh Lay Osterloh won + 1 point
Alex Bogdanovich vs Jamie Baker Lay Baker @ 4.5 won + 1 point
Novak Djokovic vs Robert Kendrick Lay Kendrikwon + 1 point
Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Aisam Qureshi Lay Qureshi won + 1 point
Fernando Gonzalez vs Janko Tipsarevic Lay Tipsarevic @2.94
Gael Monfils vs Max Mirnyi Lay Mirnyi @ 2.28 lost -1.28 points
Jonas Bjorkman vs Nicolas Mahut Lay Mahut @ 3.2 lost -2.2 points
Rafael Nadal vs Juan Martin Del Potro Lay Del Potro won + 1 point
James Blake vs Evgeny Korolev Lay Korolev @ 4.6 won + 1 point
Ivo Karlovic vs Alex Kuznetsov Lay Kuznetsov @ 5.4 won + 1 point
Lleyton Hewitt vs Jo Wilfried Tsonga Lay Tsonga @5.6 lost -4.6 points
Mikhail Youzhny vs Simon Stadler Lay Stadler @ 11 won + 1 point

Result +0.2 points

Tuesday 12 June 2007

Tennis 12th June

Nikolay Davydenko vs Jurgen Melzer Lay Melzer @ 1.79 won + 1 point
Ivo Karlovic vs Mardy Fish Lay Fish @ 2.8 won + 1 point
David Nalbandian vs Marc Gicquel Lay Gicquel @ 7.4 lost -6.4 points *
Ivan Ljubicic vs Danai Udomchoke Lay Udomchoke @ 2.78 won + 1 point
Andy Roddick vs Radek Stepanek Lay Stepanek @ won + 1 point
Sebastien Grosjean vs Michael Berrer Lay Berrer @ 6.2 won + 1 point
Anne Keothavong vs Tamira Paszek Lay Paszek @6.2 lost -5.2 points
Robert Kendrick vs Ernest Gulbis Lay Gulbis @ 3 won + 1 point

Result -5.8 points


* this game is one i traded, Nalbandian's odds where down to 1.05, so I had layed it off. I take it as a rule that when odds are below 1.07 I cover up liabilities

Monday 11 June 2007

Soccer 11th June

Czech Rep U21 v England U21 Lay Czech @7 won + 1 point
Serbia U21 v Italy U21 Lay Serbia @6 lost -5 points
IK Start v Sandefjord Lay Sandefjord @ 3.3 won + 1 point
Brommapojkarna v Malmo FF Lay Brommapojkarna @ 5.5 won + 1 point
Halmstad v Hammarby Lay Hammarby @ 3.3 won + 1 point


T0tal -1 point

Tennis 11th June

Marcos Baghdatis vs Gilles Simon Lay Simon @ 4 won + 1 point
James Blake vs Sam Querrey Lay Querry @ 4 won + 1 point
Jonas Bjorkman vs Justin Gimelstob Lay Gimelstob won + 1 point
Fernando Verdasco vs Max Mirnyi Lay Mirnyi @ 2.3 lost - 1.3 points
Mikhail Youzhny vs Michael Russell Lay Russell @ 4 won + 1 point

Result + 2.7 points

Roland Garros Complete results plus weekly update

Had a break this weekend, will be back soon with all the results and profit and loss.... meanwhile some tennis for today

Saturday 9 June 2007

Tennis Final Women

Justine Henin vs Ana Ivanovic Lay Ivanovic @ 5.7 won + 1 point

Friday 8 June 2007

Tennis Final Nadal vs Federer?????

Roger Federer vs Nikolay Davydenko Lay Davydenko @ 7.2 won + 1 point
Rafael Nadal vs Novak Djokovic Lay Djokovic @10.5 won + 1 point

Total + 2 points

Thursday 7 June 2007

Trading betfair games

hi everyone, Yesterday i got introduced to betfairgames,(Texas holdem). I would like to know if anyone know about trading software that exists, or anyone have any information about trading betfair games. I can exchange some information also. Also if some one plays betfair games and has some strategy, i am ready to trade. also is there anyone has know about a blog about trading betfair games. Thanks

Tennis 7th June

WTA semi final 1
Justine Henin vs Jelena Jankovic Lay Jankovic @ 3.3 won + 1 point

Wednesday 6 June 2007

Another 100% day.

If you wonder what 100% day is, it refer to my strike rate for the day, Today I got right 15 out of 15( 2/2 in tennis, 13/13 in soccer). This is the second day in the Euro 2008 that I got all betting tips correct, the last time was last saturday.

some people asked me if I personally bet on these bets and my answer is yes of course i do, here is my P/L on soccer for tonight.




please note that all the games advertised on the blog are there, plus there are some extra bets, which are trading games I do in play.

As you can see, I have only small wins, but few small wins make quite a good sum at the end. My aim is to lose as least as possible and build up slowly. Good evening everyone and visit tomorrow for more bets.

Soccer June 6th

Germany v Slovakia (1.25,6.8,18) Lay Slovakia @ 18 won + 1 point
Germany v Slovakia Lay 0-0 @ 25 won + 1 point
Romania v Slovenia (1.25,6.4,17) Lay Slovenia @ 17 won + 1 point
Croatia v Russia Lay under 3.5 goals @ 4.9 won + 1 point
Bulgaria v Belarus (1.34,5.5,14) Lay Belarus@ 14 won + 1 point
Estonia v England (1.21,7,27) Lay Estonia @ 27 won + 1 point
France v Georgia (1.11,13,36) Lay Georgia @ 36 won + 1 point
Liechtenstein v Spain (1.07,18,80)Lay Draw@ 18 won + 1 point
Lithuania v Italy (13.5,4.5,1.37)Lay Lithuania@ 13.5 won + 1 point
Sweden v Iceland Lay Iceland(1.19,8.2,24)@24 won + 1 point
Bosnia Herzegovina v Malta(1.16,9.4,23) Lay Malta@23 won + 1 point
Latvia v Denmark (7.6,4.6,1.52)Lay Latvia @7.6 won + 1 point
Norway v Hungary Lay Hungary(1.43,5.1,9) @ 9won + 1 point

Total points
+ 13 points

Tennis 6th June

ATP

Novak Djokovic vs Igor Andreev Lay Andreev @2.6 won + 1 point
Rafael Nadal vs Carlos Moya Lay Moya @ 24 won +1 point

Results +2 points

Tuesday 5 June 2007

Soccer 5th June

International Soccer

Japan v Columbia ( 2.5,3.3,3.3) Lay Columbia @ 3.3 won + 1 point
Brazil v Turkey (1.7,4.1,5.7 )Lay Turkey @5.7 won + 1 point
Kuwait v Portugal (14.5,6.5,1.28 ) Lay Kuwait @14.5 won + 1 point

Total + 3 points

Tennis 5th June

ATP
Roger Federer vs Tommy Robredo Lay Robredo @ 16 won + 1 point
Guillermo Canas vs Nikolay Davydenko Lay Davydenko @ 2.28 lost -1.28 points

WTA
Justine Henin vs Serena Williams Lay Williams @2.56 won + 1 point
Jelena Jankovic vs Nicole Vaidisova Lay Vaidisova @3.45 won + 1 point

Total + 2.72 points

Monday 4 June 2007

Roland Garros in numbers

Picks so far 68
Won : 58
Lost :11

Lay each bet at 1 point each profit so far : 30 points
Using 5% liability on each bank profit is 29 points
Using 7.5% liability on each bet profit is 47.7 points
Using 10 % liability on each bet profit is 100 points.

send me email if someone wants spreadsheet with all the results.

First 4 weeks.... 25 points increase from a 100 point bank

Today I calculated my profits for the first 4 weeks on the blog, From these first 4 weeks 3 weeks I made profit and 1 week I made loss totaling an overall increase in points of 25 or 25% as the starting bank was 100 points. I am sure more profit could have been made with a more aggressive staking plan due to the high strike rate of my picks. I started investigating fixed staking plan liability with my picks which looks promising but I have not done all the calculations (takes quites some time :) ).

From both sports I made 22 points profit in tennis and 3 points in soccer. The problem in soccer was that it was the end of the season for many club teams and suffer some losses because of this, but this can be taken as a lesson to avoid bets on soccer teams with lack of motivation at the end of the season.

At the moment in tennis i am having a good run, In the roland garros My strike rate is 57 from 68. which is around 84% and this is on whole games, no set betting. Check the blog around 11 daily for daily updates.

For summay of results, click here

Soccer today

Argentina Soccer

River Plate v Godoy Cruz (1.6,4.4,6.6) Lay Godoy Cruz @ 6.6 -5.6 points

Monday Tennis

Verdasco vs Djokovic Lay Djokovic @ 1.45 -0.45 points
Rafael Nadal vs Lleyton Hewitt Lay Hewit @ 10.5 +1 point
Carlos Moya vs Jonas Bjorkman Lay Bjorkman @ 4 +1 point

Justine Henin vs Serena Williams Lay Williams @2.56 +1 point
Jelena Jankovic vs Nicole Vaidisova Lay Vaidisova @3.45 +1 point

Total +3.65 points

Sunday 3 June 2007

Soccer Sunday 3rd June

Ecuador v Peru (2.34,3.4,3.45) Lay Peru @ 3.45 lost -2.45 points
Colon v Boca Juniors (4.4,3.8,1.95) Lay Colon1@ 4.4 lost -3.4 points
Murcia v Real Madrid B (2,3.5,4.1) Lay Real Madrid@ 4.1 won + 1 point
Bari v Juventus (2.18,3,4.7) Lay Juventus@ 4.7 won +1 point

Result - 3.8 points

Tennis sunday 3rd June

French Open

Atp
Guillermo Canas vs Juan Monaco Lay Monaco @ 2.9 won + 1 point
Tommy Robredo vs Filippo Volandri Lay Volandri @ 2.65 won + 1 point
Verdasco vs Djokovic Lay Djokovic @ 1.45 (tomorrow)

Wta
Svetlana Kuznetsova vs Shahar Peer Lay Peer @ 3.5 won + 1 point
Maria Sharapova vs Patty Schnyder Lay Schnyder @2.46 won + 1 point
Ana Ivanovic vs A M Garrigues Lay A M Garrigues @4.2 won + 1 point

Result +5 points

Saturday 2 June 2007

Soccer Saturday 2nd June

International

South Korea v Holland (3.75,3.75,2.1) Lay South Korea (3.8) won +1 point
Austria v Paraguay (2.9,3.25,2.8) Lay Austria won +1 point
Germany v San Marino(1.01,85,310)Lay San Marino won +1 point
Norway v Malta (1.15,10.5,26) Lay Malta won +1 point
Estonia v Croatia (11.5,5,1.38) Lay Estonia won +1 point
Greece v Hungary (1.5,4.3,9) Lay Hungary won +1 point
Latvia v Spain (14,5.3,1.34) Lay Latvia won +1 point
Switzerland v Argentina(4,3.55,2.1) Lay Switzerland 4.3
Belgium v Portugal (5.1,3.4,1.94) Lay Belguim won +1 point
Faroe Islands v Italy (210,30,1.03) Lay Faroe Islands won +1 point
Slovenia v Romania (4.5,3.55,1.98) Lay Slovenia won +1 point
France v Ukraine (1.57,3.9,9) Lay Ukraine won +1 point

Irish Soccer

Sligo Rovers v Bohemians(3.45,3.55,2.24) Lay Sligo Rovers won +1 point

Spanish Segunda
Tenerife v Vecindario (1.67,4,6) Lay Vecindario lost -3.6 points

Result +7.4 points

Tennis Saturday

ATP

Carlos Moya vs Juan Pablo Brzezicki Lay Juan Pablo Brzezicki @ 5.4 won +1 point
Lleyton Hewitt vs Jarkko Nieminen Lay Jarkko Nieminen @ 3.5 won +1 point
Novak Djokovic vs Olivier Patience Lay Patience @ 16 won +1 point


Wta

Amelie Mauresmo vs Lucie Safarova Lay Safarova @ 2.6 lost -1.6 points

total +1.4 points

Friday 1 June 2007

Soccer today

Drogheda United v Longford Town (1.3,5.8,15.5) Lay Longford Town @ 15.5 won +1 point
St Patricks v Galway United (1.62,4.3,6.2) Lay Galway United @6.2 lost -5.2 points
Shamrock Rovers v Bray Wanderers (1.5,4.4,8.4) Lay Bray Wanderers @ 8.4 won +1 point
England v Brazil Lay 0-0 @ 10.5 won result 1-1 +1 point

Total -2.2 points

Tennis Friday

ATP
Guillermo Canas vs Kristof Vliegen Lay Vliegen @ 4.8 (from yesterday bets) won +1point
Igor Andreev vs Nicolas Massu Lay Massu@ 3.2 (from yesterday bets)won +1point
P.H. Mathieu vs G.Simon Lay Simon @3.2 (from yesterday bets)won +1point

Ivan Ljubicic vs Filippo Volandri Ivan Ljubicic Lay @ Volandri
(after doing more research, Its better to avoid this bet, one factor is that head 2 head which is in favour of Ljubicic , was not played on clay, and volandri is in good form)


WTA
Justine Henin vs Mara Santangelo Lay Santangelo @ 24 won +1point
Dinara Safina vs Francesca Schiavone Lay @ Schiavone 3.9 won +1point
Nicole Vaidisova vs Samantha Stosur Lay @ Stosur @ 3.75 won +1point
Marion Bartoli vs Elena Dementieva Lay @ Bartoli @ 3 lost -2 points

Total 4 points

Thursday 31 May 2007

Tennis Picks Thursday

Ivan Ljubicic vs Stanislas Wawrinka Lay Wawrinka @4.2 won +1 point
Carlos Moya vs Florent Serra Lay Serra@ 3.3 won +1 point
Ivo Karlovic vs Jonas Bjorkman Lay Bjorkman@ 2.92 lost -1.92 points
Igor Andreev vs Nicolas Massu Lay Massu@ 3.2 (tomorrow)
Albert Montanes vs Ernest Gulbis Lay Gulbis@ 3.3 won +1 point
Lleyton Hewitt vs Gaston Gaudio Lay Gaudio@ 5.2 won +1 point
P.H. Mathieu vs G.Simon Lay Simon @3.2 (tomorrow)
Guillermo Garcia Lopez vs Juan Pablo Brzezicki Lay Brzezicki 3.75 lost -2.75 points
Guillermo Canas vs Kristof Vliegen Lay Vliegen 4.8 (tomorrow)
David Ferrer vs Diego Hartfield Lay Hartfield 14.5 won +1 point

WTA
Milagros Sequera vs Serena Williams Lay Sequera 16 won +1 point
Amelie Mauresmo vs Nathalie Dechy Lay Dechy @ 7 won +1 point

Result +2.3 points.

Experimental Trading

Apart from betting (with management :) ) I also trade in betfair, and tennis is a good sport to trade cause of the swing of prices. Anyway anyone knows about this but an idea that I have recently is this. In a game sometimes a player is winning and suddenly some mistake happens and he is losing, and from odds of around 1.2 the odds go to 2... and if he loses a set odds go completely different way. so my experimental trading is this.

Find games which I think there will be swing of price and lay both sides at odds less than 2, when the game starts I am putting the following bets and see what happens.

For tomorrow I will try with low stakes the following.

Jan Hajek vs Bohdan Ulihrach, Lay both @1.3 lost
comments : Hajek won minimum minimum odds on Ulihrach where 1.45

Oscar Hernandez vs Philipp Kohlschreiber Lay both @ 1.4 lost
hernandez won in straight sets

Ivo Karlovic vs Bjorkman Lay both at 1.2 won
comments :at the moment in play, both players reached odds as low as 1.08

Andreev vs Massu Lay both at 1.2

Mathieu vs G.Simon Lay both at 1.2

Montanes vs Gulbis Lay both at 1.2 lost
montanes reached 1.02 then went up to 2 then down to 1.25... still inplay....
Montanes won the set after and won the game

Moya vs Serra Lay both at 1.25 lost
Moya won in 3 sets,Serra had no chance

M. Zabaleta vs O.Patience Lay both at 1.25 lost
comment : this was an almost one, the odds on Zabaleta went down to 1.28 at one point

Verdasco vs Tursnov Lay both at 1.15 lost
comment : Verdasco won in straight sets

comments and suggestions on this system are welcome :)

12 from 14 on tennis

Another good day in selections today in tennis and with level stake points there was a tiny profit of 0.7 points. I read quite a number of ebooks about betting and 1 important thing I read is that profitable betting consists of 2 main things.
1 Selection 50% importance and
2. Stake plan 50% importance.

Having good selections with a wrong stake plan can not be profitable. In tennis at the moment, I am having good selections 28 from 34 (around 82% strike rate) but i am still uncertain which is the best staking plan. Personally I am using fixed liability at 7.5% for each game and this shown to be quite successfull with these selections. So far I would have done around 30 points from a 100 point bank. Also what i am doing is that I am not compounding my profits and leave them aside in case of a bad day. Using 10% liability the profit is fantastic, but its probably too risky and a bad day could hurt. Let's continue this journey and try to find the best staking plan.

Wednesday 30 May 2007

Soccer Wednesday 30th

no soccer tips today.

Tennis wed 30th June

ATP

Marat Safin vs Janko Tipsarevic Lay Janko Tipsarevic @ 3.5 lost -2.5 points
Richard Gasquet vs Kristof Vliegen Lay Kristof Vliegen @8.8 lost -7.8 points
Guillermo Canas vs Simone Bolelli Lay Simone Bolelli @ 7.4 won +1 point
Filippo Volandri vs Martin Vassallo Arguello Lay @ Martin Vassallo Arguello @4.6 won +1 point
Juan Monaco vs Jurgen Melzer Lay Jurgen Melzer@ 2.9 won +1 point
David Nalbandian vs Ivan Navarro Pastor Lay Ivan Navarro Pastor@ 6.4 won +1 point
Ivan Ljubicic vs Stanislas Wawrinka Lay Stanislas Wawrinka@ 4
Carlos Moya vs Andreas Seppi Lay Andreas Seppi @ 4.8 won +1 point
David Ferrer vs Daniele Bracciali Lay Daniele Bracciali @ 14.5 won +1 point

WTA
Ai Sugiyama vs Eva Birnerova Lay Eva Birnerova @ 4.8 won +1 point
Ana Ivanovic vs Sofia Arvidssom Lay Sofia Arvidssom @ 15 won +1 point
Alberta Brianti vs Sania Mirza Lay Alberta Brianti @2.24 won +1 point
Amelie Mauresmo vs Laura Granville Lay Laura Granville@ 18 won +1 point
Gisela Dulko vs Su wei Hsieh Lay Su wei Hsieh Lay@ 4 won +1 point

Ljubicic game has been postponed to tomorrow

Results
+0.7 points


Stake 2 is having fixed liability,
Today's results
risking 5% of bank on each bet points 5.2 points
risking 7.5 % of bank on each bet points 16.8 points
risking 10% of bank on each bet points 30 points.

I will post detailed results of the stakes later.....





Tuesday 29 May 2007

16 from 20 in round 1 Roland Garros

Got 16 out of 20 games in the First round of the French open, and on games only, there where not included set bettings. with the usual stake plan 5.2 points profit where achieve and different profits where achieved with different fixed stake liabilities. using a 10% risk liability stake a profit of 34 points would have been achieved, but could be too risky, will continue taking notes and see results at the end of the tournament. hopefully with other good results. good day in soccer also.

Soccer Tuesday 29th March

Irish Soccer

Derry City v Waterford United (1.5,4.5,8.2) Lay Waterford @ 8.2 result 1-1
Stake plan 1: won + 1 point
Stake plan 2 : -10 points

Sligo Rovers v Drogheda United (4.3,3.75,2) Lay Sligo Rovers@ 4.3 result 0-2
Stake plan 1 +1 point
Stake plan 2 10 points

Results,
Stake 1 + 2 points
Stake 2 0 points

Tennis

bets from yesterday and some more.

Roland Garros First Round(Men)


Juan Carlos Ferrero vs Amer Delic Lay Delic @ 5.2 won + 1 point
Julien Benneteau vs Carlos Berlocq Lay Berlocq@ 4.5 lost -3.5 points
Hewitt vs Mirnyi Lay Mirnyi @ 9.2 won + 1 point
Ivan Ljubicic vs Arnaud Clement Lay Clement @ 2.8 won + 1 point
Stefan Koubek vs Christophe Rochus Lay C.Rochus @ 2.7 + 1 point
Nicolas Lapentti vs Alexander Peya Lay Peya @ 3.45 won + 1 point
Hanescu vs Canas Lay Hanescu @ 12 won + 1 point
Fernando Gonzalez vs Radek Stepanek Lay @ 5.8 lost -4.8 points
Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo vs Stanislas Wawrinka Lay Wawrinka @ 2.26 lost -1.26 points
David Nalbandian vs Hyung Taik Lee Lay Hyung Taik Lee @ 5.7 + 1 point
Gael Monfils vs Olivier Rochus Lay Olivier Rochus @ 2.98 won + 1 point
Ecoonomidis vs Guccione Lay Guccione @ 2.28 won + 1 point
Gasquet vs Mahut Lay Mahut @ 14 won + 1 point
Jose Acasuso vs Jurgen Melzer @3.2 won + 1 point
Juan Monaco vs Fabio Fognini @ 7.2 won + 1 point
Dmitry Tursunov vs Alessio Di Mauro@2.4 won + 1 point
Dominik Hrbaty vs Bohdan Ulihrach @ 2.22 lost -1.22 points
Kristof Vliegen vs Danai Udomchoke @4.2 won + 1 point


WTA
Yvonne Meusburger vs Francesca Schiavone Lay Meusburger @ 3.2 won + 1 point
Angelique Kerber vs Elena Dementieva Lay Kerber @15 won + 1 point

Full Results
Stake 1 :+5.2 points

Stake 2 is having fixed liability,
risking 5% of bank on each bet points 3.7 points
risking 7.5 % of bank on each bet points 14.
risking 10% of bank on each bet points 34.3

Some profits is soccer

some profits in soccer yesterday and a quite a big difference in profits with staking plan 1, which is backing the winner instead of laying the loser, I will continue with both staking plans for a while and see which one is most profitable. Hopefully some tennis will be played today.

Monday 28 May 2007

Soccer Monday

Czech soccer
16:15 Sparta Prague v SIAD Most (1.17, 8.6, 30) Lay Most @ 30 won result 5-0
Stake 1 :win 1.7points , risk 10 points
Stake 2 :win 1 point risk 29 points

English Playoff
15:00 Derby v West Brom(1.32,3.8) Lay Under 1.5 goals 3.8 lost 1-0
Stake 1 :lost 10 points : risk 10 points
Stake 2 :lost 1 point risk 2.8 points


Swiss Cup
15:00 Basel-Luzern (1.49,4.4,9) Lay Luzern @9 won 1-0
Stake 1 :win 4.9points , risk 10 points
Stake 2 :win 1 point risk 3.9 points



Norwegain soccer
17:00 Odd Grenland v SK Brann Lay (3.7,3.7,2.12) Lay @ Odd Grenland 3.7 won 0-2
Stake 1 :win 11.2 points , 10 risk points
Stake 2 :win 1 point risk 2.7 points



19:00 Lillestrom v Stabaek (1.83 ,4, 4.8 ) Lay Stabaek 4.8 result 1-1
Stake 1 :lost 10 points , risk 10 points lost
Stake 2 :win1 point risk 3.8 points won



Swedish Soccer
IFK Goteborg v GAIS ( 1.8,3.7,5.6 ) Lay GAIS @ 5.6 won result1-0
Stake 1 :win 8 points , risk 10 points
Stake 2 :win 1 point risk 4.6 points


Finnish Soccer
17:00 Tampere United v Lahti (1.76,3.9,5.4) Lay Lahti won 1-0
Stake 1 :win points 7.6, risk 10 points
Stake 2 :win1 point risk 4.4 points

( full results)
Total points
Stake 1 : +20 points
Stake 2 : +3.3 points